Housing Market Will Be Very Slow Next Decade

I’ve been seeing some house sales numbers popping up as of late but haven’t really dug into them. This post I’m writing is because I stumbled upon a claim, looked it up and found a trend that maybe reversing……How long Americans stay in their homes they buy. While reading an article from Dave Ramsey on “Homebuyer Mistakes” he had this in the article:

Homeowners stay in their homes an average of just four years, according to the National Association of Realtors.

I found this to be very intriguing and wanted to dig more into this number. First article I found (Longtime Homeowners a Relative Rarity in U. S., Census Shows) dated November 21, 2003. Seems to back up the claim of short ownership of a home.

Although a relative rarity in the United States, where homeowners stay in their homes an average of six years, according to the National Association of Realtors

Now a more recent article I found (Downside of low US mortgage rates? Less selling) written in July of this year shows homeownership economic factors pertaining to the effects of low interest rates caused by in fashion by the Federal Reserve. Shows why the housing market will be very slow the next decade.

More than one-third of homes with a mortgage now have rates below 4 percent, real estate data provider CoreLogic estimates….. As a result, many homeowners with low rates are staying put. Others are moving and buying new homes, but keeping their old ones and renting them. The number of available homes last year was the equivalent of just 4.9 months’ worth of sales, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The big problem of people not being be able to sell is equity issues…..

Another factor is that almost 40 percent of homeowners still don’t have enough equity to enable them to sell. Some are “underwater,” with a mortgage higher than the home’s value. Others may have so little equity that they can’t afford to pay off the sales costs and put a down payment on their next property.

One final note on top of this, many investors and Americans expect interest rates to rise significantly over the next few years. This will be a big pressure on home sales along with the above mentioned.


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